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ER Editor: This topic was also picked up by RT in a slightly different way. See —
UK Tories face election wipeout – polls
The Conservative Party is heading for its worst-ever general election result, pollsters suggest
The UK Conservative Party is on course for a historic defeat in July’s general election, ending their 14-year run in government, according to three major polls released on Wednesday.
A poll by Savanta and Electoral Calculus for the Telegraph forecasts the Tories getting just 53 seats out of 650 in parliament. Not only would this mark an all-time low for the party, but the poll predicted the current Tory leader and Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, could lose his seat in Richmond and Northallerton, an unprecedented blow for a serving leader.
A More in Common survey for the News Agents podcast showed the Tories heading towards 155 seats. Despite being the most optimistic for the Conservatives of the three polls, it would still mean less than half the current 344, and even fewer seats than they had in 1997, when the Conservative party lost leadership to Labour.
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A reminder as to the basically smart and commonsensical manifesto Farage just put out —
Nigel Farage Launches Reform Manifesto With Pledges to Freeze Immigration, Leave the ECHR and Scrap Net Zero
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Readers might not like this but we’re going to say it, anyway – see the number 17 in the report below.
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The Nigel Farage effect is real
Conservatives lose out while Farage’s Reform UK is projected to win 5 seats in latest in-depth model.
LUCIA MacKENZIE for POLITICO.EU
Nigel Farage’s entry into the U.K. election race seems to have finally put his Reform party on the map.
Pollster YouGov released its latest in-depth seat projections Wednesday as the July 4 vote looms. It’s the company’s first MRP model projection since Farage, now at the helm of Reform UK, announced he would be running in the election after all in early June.
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