Israel: The Canary in the Vaccine Mine

Israel: The Canary in the Vaccine Mine


With Israel steaming ahead in the race to vaccinate its citizens against COVID-19, it has become the country to watch. To date, ~25% of the population has had at least one dose of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine. It is early days, but a Lockdown Sceptics reader and former scientist has written in with some observations.


A chart showing the percentage of vaccinations completed (light green two doses, dark green one) shows a high level of coverage, especially across the elderly age groups in Israel, and a large proportion of those over 60 received their first and second doses before the end of 2020, well over two weeks ago.

Percentage of different age cohorts who’ve had either a single dose or both doses of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine

And yet a chart of the daily death statistics (Worldometer) and a chart showing daily hospital data of patients severely ill with COVID-19 show levels at an all time high and still growing.

Which begs the question: at what point should we start seeing some benefit of this comprehensive vaccination programme on the actual numbers of sick or dying elderly people.

Number of patients severely ill with COVID-19

Stop Press: The Wall Street Journal reports that there is a 33% fall in infection rates among those who have been vaccinated compared with those who haven’t.

Stop Press 2: The Times of Israel reports that the first Pfizer shot curbs infections by 50% after 14 days

Stop Press 3: Politico reveals that the secret behind their success in procuring the vaccine lies in the Israeli Government agreeing to hand over citizens’ data to Pfizer.



Featured image: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives his second dose of the coronavirus vaccine on January 9th. Miriam Alster/AFP/Getty Images


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