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Irish govt eyes snap election to seize on Sinn Féin weakness

June 18, 2024 GOVERNMENT 0

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ER Editor: Is Ireland the next shoe to drop? As far as we are aware, Sinn Fein is a globalist party that is pro-EU and pro-open borders. A reminder that the Irish (that is, Eire, not Northern Ireland) is chafing badly under the waves of illegal migrants, mostly men, as well as leaders who evidently don’t like white people very much.

A reminder that Fine Gael’s leader and Irish PM, Leo Varadkar, suddenly stepped down a few months ago for no apparent reason, to be replaced by unelected Simon Harris. Gay and coffee-coloured, Varadkar was about as trendily woke as you could get. See this from March 2024 — 

Ireland’s WEF Leader Leo Varadkar Steps Down

Then Varadkar’s deputy suddenly stepped down, too, within a couple of weeks. See —

Leo Varadkar’s deputy, Simon Coveney, steps down from cabinet

Is Simon Harris’ government next in line, following on from the UK and France? And what about Germany?

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Sinn Fein and Fine Gael are regarded as globalist parties

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Irish government eyes snap election to seize on Sinn Féin weakness

Not another one! As much of the world goes to the polls this year, Ireland could be the latest to join the election 2024 party.

DUBLIN — It’s becoming quite a trend. As much of Europe and the rest of the world spends 2024 in campaign mode, it appears Ireland may be ready to join the election party.

Prime Minister Simon Harris has until March 2025 to put the question to the country, but Sinn Féin’s surprisingly poor performance in this month’s European and council elections may well encourage him to join Britain and France in holding a snap election — around the time America, too, will go to the polls.

Ireland’s New Taoiseach Meets Northern Ireland Assembly Leaders
Simon Harris faces mounting internal pressure to call an election sooner rather than later. | Charles McQuillan/Getty Images

Lawmakers in Ireland’s three-party government have told POLITICO that Harris may be tempted by Sinn Féin’s sudden weakness to press the advantage. That would mean holding the next parliamentary contest by November in hopes of keeping his Irish republican enemies out of power for another five years.

Harris — the social media-savvy successor to Leo Varadkar as Fine Gael leader and prime minister — faces mounting internal pressure to call an election sooner rather than later as the best way to keep his center-ground party at the helm of the Irish parliament, known as Dáil Éireann, for a record fourth straight term.

Most betting in Dáil circles on a snap election falling on one of four Fridays: October 25 or November 1, 8 or 15. Five government lawmakers who spoke to POLITICO — all granted anonymity in order to speak freely about internal party discussions — agreed it would be best to go as early as possible to avoid campaigning, literally, in the dark, since daylight savings ends in Ireland on October 27.

“Nobody wants to be freezing their bollocks off if we can avoid it. Not our own campaign teams, and certainly not the voters we’re hoping to meet on the doorstep,” said one Fine Gael lawmaker, who prefers October 25 but thinks the election date will slip into November.

Key to the timing would be how ruthlessly the government can pass a bulging in-tray of complex bills — most crucially a 2025 budget that would seek to deploy Ireland’s cash-filled coffers in vote-winning ways.

Foolish to drag things out

“If we get the budget right, it’ll never be a better time to go to the people to renew and strengthen our mandate,” said a lawmaker from Fianna Fáil, the government party that currently holds the finance ministry. “We’d be fools to drag this out to March, when Sinn Féin would be able to argue we’re afraid of the voters and clinging to power.”

While the budget is currently scheduled to be delivered October 8 by Finance Minister Michael McGrath, that date could be brought forward by one or two weeks if the Dáil is recalled early.

Adding to the air of uncertainty, McGrath might no longer be minister by then, as he’s the leading candidate to be nominated to become Ireland’s next commissioner on the EU executive in Brussels.

Behind the scenes, government lawmakers have already been briefed by their party leaders to brace for an unusually busy summer workload.

The Dáil normally sits only three days a week and takes a full two months off from mid-July to mid-September, but Monday and Friday sittings and an early recall are now in the mix.

A summer McGrath move to the European Commission would set the scene for a wider pre-election Cabinet reshuffle and give Foreign Minister Micheál Martin, the Fianna Fáil leader, a chance to elevate one or more electoral hopefuls to the top table.

Sinn Féin — long portrayed as the government-in-waiting on the back of years of consistently topping the opinion polls — was left reeling from council and European results that saw its support plummet below 12 percent, less than half the figure it anticipated. Sinn Féin lost votes, in particular, to new anti-establishment voices on the right preaching hostility to immigration.

The party has launched an internal review into how it got its campaign tactics and strategy so wrong, and vows to reverse its fortunes dramatically.

CONTINUE READING HERE

Featured image source, Simon Harris: https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2024/0329/1440642-ireland-politics/

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