ER Editor: Waiting for the promised Ukrainian spring counteroffensive is like watching paint dry. Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces are attacking Russian areas adjacent to the border, such as Belgorod, which now receives more daily shelling than the Donbas. For a more fine-grain analysis of this, and what a clusterf**k is happening in that region, see Simplicius‘ most recent report, titled Wild Day in the Wildlands of Ukraine. Of note:
So, yes, Belgorod, or rather Shebekino, is being hammered right now in every way. From nonstop shelling which has now killed multiple civilians over the past few days, to these daily incursions which are aggravating and trying to provoke disproportionate responses. And many quick-tempered people on the Russian side are indignant with the Russian MOD for not responding with more authority.
However, as I said before, these are all exactly the AFU’s aims in these operations. We’ve said all along, even months ago, that prior to the offensive, such psychological and asymmetrical warfare would massively increase. And now it has. The AFU has few options left and they are acting as nothing more than a terror guerilla force now, resorting to civilian strikes and provocateur actions more than ever before to make up for their failings on the field.
Below, Pronews (in Greek but browsers will machine-translate) reports on how Kiev is the next target, as well as there being two new Russian military formations (armies?) to be deployed.
A reminder of geography — Belgorod / Kharkov, Kiev and Zaporozhye:
Ukraine has just made a failed military attempt on Zaporozhye according to Simplicius.
And on Kiev being targeted, see this by Gateway Pundit —
Gloves Are Off: Russian Officials Ramp up the Nuclear Rhetoric – Nightly Bombing Campaign Against Kiev Enters Its Second Week – Intelligence Service HQ Hit
When the young woman, a Kiev resident, complains that she’d like to be able to get some sleep, it somehow doesn’t sound too much like a war is going on.
How Moscow will attack Kharkov and Zaporizhia: 100,000 personnel will catch the Ukrainian counterattack
Two new Russian army bodies have been set up
According to Western analysts (who emphasize that they have access to information from the West), the Russian Army has created two new army formations. According to reports, they are reaching 100,000 staff who will carry out deep-seated penetration into a new war of maneuver.
Kharkiv and eastern Zaporozhye are the main targets of maneuvering movements and as everything shows, it is not just a matter of preventing a Ukrainian counterattack, which is constantly being postponed, but crushing Kiev.
ER: This is an interesting thread to follow —
The forces created are mixed as they consist of both experienced and long-standing staff.
Interesting footage of a Pantsir and a car being attacked by small kamikaze drones.
— Tony (@Cyberspec1) June 2, 2023
Both of these formations, which are far from the lights of the front line, have over 1,500 tanks of upgraded types such as T-B3, T-80BVM and T-90M, while fire cover will provide four artillery divisions that, among others, will bring the new Schnado versions.
These units will be a “response” to the Ukrainian forces that bombed the Russian Belgorod region during two nights, while hundreds of children have been removed from the border, said Governor Vachelaw Gladkov, and this is gradually leading to the [sic].
‘During the night they were quite anxious’, Gladkov said in a post to Telegram, adding that the cities of Sebecino and Volokonovsky had suffered ‘much’ damage.
More than 4,000 people have been relocated to the area bordering the south and west with Ukraine.
Yesterday, Gladkov accompanied about 600 children from the cities of Sebecino and Graivoron in Yaroslav and Kaluga.
‘Sebecino’s children are very worried about their city’, he said. ‘I went to leave, they stopped me and they started anxiously asking questions’.
Sebecino, a city of about 40,000 people on the border with Ukraine, and other areas in the Belgorod region are becoming more and more, with Gladkov declaring to the Russian media that the region is now living ‘in real war conditions’.
The Russian army said on Thursday that it had repulsed the Ukrainian attempt to ‘invade’ Russian.
‘After intensive non-military bombing in the Belgorod area, Ukrainian terrorist groups consisting of up to two motorized infantry battalions with the support of combat tanks attempted to enter’, The Russian Ministry of Defense stated in the Telegram messaging application.
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