Employment: Raymond Soubie’s Cry of Alarm over the Arrival of Mass Unemployment
LE LIBRE PENSEUR
It is a real economic disaster, and yet the subversive French political elites keep talking about Islam and Muslims all the time on radio and TV as well as in the press. France is collapsing economically because of the health dictatorship, and our made-in-Tel-Aviv journalists keep multiplying islamophobic statements! Understand it if you can.
The French ‘pope”s social analysis of the employment situation is chilling.
Raymond Soubie (pictured) is not just anyone. At nearly 80 years of age, the former social adviser to Nicolas Sarkozy is a reference on the French economic landscape. President of Alixio, he advises a number of major companies, and has the ear of all the governments that have been in power for 20 years. However, on Saturday, September 12, in Aix-en-Provence, during the Cercle des économistes meetings, Raymond Soubie gave a chilling overview of the new social season:
“I am very, very worried because we are heading towards an unemployment rate never seen before in France. In the first half of the year, we lost 700,000 jobs, whereas France used to create between 100,000 and 200,000 jobs every year. This gap is colossal, while at the same time we have to take in more than 500,000 young people on the job market. The addition of these phenomena is unique in history, and we are not immune to unrest: it can go very wrong.”
Short-time work masks the reality
No doubt the appreciation of the social climate by this great expert must be put into perspective because it is precisely the employers who are the most worried, who come to him for advice. “Many companies have excess jobs,” says Alixio’s president. “Because until now, the bell of partial unemployment has masked the reality.” As a result, he makes a contrasting assessment of the government’s recovery plan:
“The recovery plan was built on the double logic of fighting for the short term and preparing the country for the medium term. Is it possible to pursue these two objectives at the same time when jobs should be created to avoid unrest? The measures on apprenticeship are excellent, making it virtually free for companies, yet there are few job opportunities.“
Raymond Soubie also warns against the multiplication of regulations: “The administrative elite tells us that we must limit windfall effects. They are always tempted to impose clauses in company agreements, especially for this new instrument that provides for long-term short-time working. It would be a mistake for a new decree to push company directors to prefer old-style social plans. On this subject, as well as on the debate on the “compensation” to be asked of companies, Raymond Soubie is very firm:
“The State is always tempted to say what is right and wrong, to say what the compensatory measures should be. We must leave this debate within companies, because if we impose it on them beforehand, what margin will be left to the social partners. Compensation, yes, but reasonable and negotiated.”
Unsurprisingly, the former social adviser wants to give negotiation every chance to fight against this deadly trend, which he summarizes as follows: “In the latest Cevipof study, the appreciation that the French have of the trade unions is equal to that which they have of the bankers! This means that… ” Coming from a man so highly policed, recognized by the entire French business establishment, this reminder is more than a warning: “We are in a highly flammable society.” Only the small number of yellow vests in the various demonstrations in France on Saturday was likely to put this worrying observation into perspective.
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