Poland’s Tusk set to win confidence vote, but faces uphill slog to govern

ER Editor: When Politico says something of a negative nature against a globalist mainstay such as Donald Tusk (2.0 by now), we pay attention. Today is a confidence vote in the Polish parliament in view of the recent presidential elections, won narrowly by conservative and anti-globalist Karol Nawrocki.

European Conservative gives us additional information, with a wider, more general angle from Politico below —

Tusk Puts Anti-Democratic Toolbox To Use After Conservative Win

A seriously useful reminder to readers —

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The pro-EU prime minister will have to contend not only with a nationalist president blocking his reforms, but also with increasingly frustrated coalition partners.

WOJCIECH KOSC for POLITICO.EU

WARSAW — Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk is expected to comfortably survive a confidence vote on Wednesday but the result will do little to assuage the challenges posed by the victory of conservative nationalist Karol Nawrocki in the June 1 presidential election.

Donald Tusk’s pro-EU centrist ruling coalition holds 242 seats in the 460-seat Sejm, or lower house, which means the vote itself will almost certainly go in his favor. | Pawel Supernak/EFE via EPA

Tusk’s pro-EU, centrist ruling coalition holds 242 seats in the 460-seat Sejm, or lower house, which means the vote itself will almost certainly go in his favor, but is unlikely to win him the political respite he craves in the NATO country of 37 million people.

The prime minister now faces having to deal not only with Trump-aligned Nawrocki scuppering his reform agenda with presidential vetos at every turn, but also with fault lines in his own coalition, particularly among partners who think Tusk himself is losing them votes.

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Nawrocki’s victory directly threatens Tusk’s ability to enact his agenda, as the president can veto key reforms in areas including abortion, same-sex partnerships, the judicial system and social security payments for the self-employed.

Nawrocki’s unexpected victory sent shockwaves through Tusk’s four-party coalition, which now promises to intensify efforts to deliver on the commitments made ahead of the 2023 general election. A lack of progress on the initiatives that helped bring the coalition to power two years ago is seen as a key factor behind the shift of voters away from it on June 1.

Nawrocki is expected to chisel away at the government’s effectiveness and popularity ahead of the next general election in 2027.

Tusk’s administration would have needed a three-fifths majority to override presidential vetoes, but falls well short. Indeed, polls already suggest the coalition would lose its majority to the nationalist Law and Justice (PiS) party and the far-right Konfederacja party, whose voters played a key role in securing Nawrocki’s victory.

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Poland’s Tusk set to win confidence vote, but faces uphill slog to govern

Tusk Puts Anti-Democratic Toolbox To Use After Conservative Win